La Nina In 2024. But it's not just that fact alone, there is also strong model consensus (all types of models from the fancier supercomputer models to the simple empirical ones) that are leaning in this direction. A forecast released thursday, aug.
El niño weakened substantially over the past month, and we think a transition to neutral conditions is imminent. The enso outlook is currently at la niña watch, meaning there are some signs that a la niña may form in the pacific ocean later in 2024.